Samuel Leach Updates!

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अपडेट किया गया: August 31, 2026 at 5:03 AM

Samuel Leach Updates!

My Whatsapp has been so overrun, i cannot keep up with the thousands of people adding me. So decided ill keep everyone updated on telegram broadcast. Feel free to add me

Follow @samuelleachupdates to stay updated with the latest decided and been trends and news

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सब्सक्राइबर वृद्धि (पिछले 10 दिन)

कुल: 2.9K

24 घंटे की वृद्धि: -6 0%

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Samuel Leach Updates!

6 सित॰ 2026, 01:22 pm

That soft-labour park just got run over — and gold did not wait for the cash open to admit it.

August NFP printed +162k versus about 56k. July revised to +21k from -23k. Private payrolls +127k versus 45k. Unemployment still 4.1%. Wages +0.3% MoM / +3.1% YoY — right on consensus. So the hiring level is loud; the wage line is not inventing a new inflation scare on its own.

Marks now (Yahoo, ~13:50 BST): ES ~7,742 after sitting near 7,762 into the print. Gold futures dumped toward ~$4,440 from the ~$4,51x handle we had around the release. Silver ~$66. US 10y up to ~4.80% from ~4.76%. Dollar index ~99.3. Cable ~1.350, euro ~1.160. Brent still ~$95. VIX still ~14.2 — equities faded, they did not panic.

Plain English: Thursday bought Waller and soft ADP. Today’s payrolls say the labour cooling story was overdone. Equities gave back the park. Rates and the dollar firmed. Metals got the cleaner reprice. Oil did not collapse, which matters because ISM Services Prices Paid is still 72.6 — that inflation floor did not leave with the soft-labour sleeve.

What’s next: US cash open 14:30 UK. Watch whether ES extends the fade or whether “wages weren’t hot” buyers show up into the close. For September Fed, Waller already said August inflation is his swing factor — so next week’s CPI/PPI still decide hold vs hike more than this one payrolls print. Hot hiring just put the hike tail back on the table.

US Open brief: https://www.samuelandcotrading.com/us-open-market-brief-4-september-2026-nfp-162k/

Samuel Leach Updates!

6 सित॰ 2026, 01:22 pm

Cash bell in minutes — futures already did the soft-labour autopsy. Now we find out if cash agrees.

You know the print: August NFP +162k vs ~56k, July revised to +21k from -23k, private +127k, unemployment still 4.1%, wages +0.3% MoM / +3.1% YoY (at consensus). Hiring was loud. Wages were not a fresh scare on their own.

Marks now (Yahoo, ~14:21 BST): ES ~7,736 versus ~7,755 prior close — still soft into the open. Gold futures took another step toward ~$4,433 after dumping from the ~$4,51x handle around the release. Silver ~$65.8. US 10y ~4.79%. Dollar index ~99.3. Cable ~1.351, euro ~1.161. Brent still ~$94.5. VIX ~14.2. Interesting split: NQ is basically flat while ES and the Dow future are softer — tech holding better than the broad tape.

Plain English: the soft-labour sleeve is gone in futures. Metals already admitted it. Rates and the dollar firmed and then parked. Oil did not collapse, which matters because ISM Services Prices Paid is still 72.6 — that inflation floor did not leave with the labour story.

What’s next: first hour of US cash. Watch whether ES extends the fade or whether buyers show up on “wages weren’t hot.” For September Fed, Waller already flagged August inflation as his swing factor — so next week’s CPI/PPI still decide hold vs hike more than this one payrolls print. Hot hiring just put the hike tail back on the table.

US Open brief: https://www.samuelandcotrading.com/us-open-market-brief-4-september-2026-nfp-162k/

Samuel Leach Updates!

6 सित॰ 2026, 01:22 pm

Cash has spoken for an hour. Soft-labour is still dead. Tech just refused to die with it.

Samuel Leach Updates!

6 सित॰ 2026, 01:22 pm

Two and a half hours to payrolls and nobody wants to express a view.

Marks now (Yahoo, ~11:05 BST): ES still ~7,758 near Thursday's 7,748 cash close. Gold futures ~$4,514 after the morning reclaim near $4,528. Brent ~$95.5, WTI ~$91.1. EUR ~1.162, GBP ~1.352, USD/JPY ~156.4, DXY ~99.1. US 10y glued at ~4.76%. FTSE ~10,833. VIX ~14.2.

That is the tell into the print. Equities are babysitting Waller. The gold reclaim got sold again. Oil is still the inflation floor under any dovish labour read. FX has barely twitched since Europe's soft demand stack printed earlier.

London already did its bit: UK construction PMI 44.3 (miss vs 45.5) and Eurostat July euro-area retail -0.6% MoM (street wanted about +0.3%). Cable and the euro treated both as noise. So the book is not pricing a European demand shock. It is waiting for US labour.

NFP is 13:30 UK. Street cluster roughly +55k to +65k after July's -23k, unemployment mostly seen near 4.1%, wages ~+0.3% MoM. I care more about the unemployment rate and the revisions than whether the headline lands on 58k. Near-consensus keeps next week's CPI and PPI as the September Fed vote. A hot print with firm wages puts the hike tail back on. Another miss and this equity hold gets a second wind, with Brent mid-$95s still telling you how far the market is allowed to go dovish.

Samuel Leach Updates!

6 सित॰ 2026, 01:22 pm

Two and a half hours to payrolls and nobody wants to express a view.

Marks now (Yahoo, ~11:05 BST): ES still ~7,758 near Thursday's 7,748 cash close. Gold futures ~$4,514 after the morning reclaim near $4,528. Brent ~$95.5, WTI ~$91.1. EUR ~1.162, GBP ~1.352, USD/JPY ~156.4, DXY ~99.1. US 10y glued at ~4.76%. FTSE ~10,833. VIX ~14.2.

That is the tell into the print. Equities are babysitting Waller. The gold reclaim got sold again. Oil is still the inflation floor under any dovish labour read. FX has barely twitched since Europe's soft demand stack printed earlier.

London already did its bit: UK construction PMI 44.3 (miss vs 45.5) and Eurostat July euro-area retail -0.6% MoM (street wanted about +0.3%). Cable and the euro treated both as noise. So the book is not pricing a European demand shock. It is waiting for US labour.

NFP is 13:30 UK. Street cluster roughly +55k to +65k after July's -23k, unemployment mostly seen near 4.1%, wages ~+0.3% MoM. I care more about the unemployment rate and the revisions than whether the headline lands on 58k. Near-consensus keeps next week's CPI and PPI as the September Fed vote. A hot print with firm wages puts the hike tail back on. Another miss and this equity hold gets a second wind, with Brent mid-$95s still telling you how far the market is allowed to go dovish.

117

Samuel Leach Updates!

6 सित॰ 2026, 01:22 pm

Who’s liking my updates? Keeping you in the loop with my market watch?

Samuel Leach Updates!

6 सित॰ 2026, 01:22 pm

That soft-labour bid just ran into a brick wall.

August NFP: +162k versus about 56k expected. July revised to +21k from -23k. Private payrolls +127k versus 45k. Unemployment still 4.1%. Wages +0.3% MoM / +3.1% YoY — at consensus, not a wage spike. The hiring level is the story.

Tape after the print (Yahoo ~13:35): ES back ~7,753–7,755 from the ~7,762 park. Cable ~1.350 from ~1.353. Euro ~1.160 from ~1.162. Gold ~$4,513. Brent still high-$94s (~$94.7). Dollar index ~99.04.

Thursday bought Waller and soft ADP. Today’s print puts Prices Paid at 72.6 and sticky oil back in the driver’s seat into the mid-September Fed. Cash open 14:30.

https://www.samuelandcotrading.com/us-open-market-brief-4-september-2026-nfp-162k/

Samuel Leach Updates!

6 सित॰ 2026, 01:22 pm

London just inherited Thursday's soft-labour equity bid. The hedge did not come with it.

Marks now (Yahoo, ~08:05 BST): ES ~7,756 (cash closed 7,748). Gold futures ~$4,509 after ~$4,516 into the open and yesterday's ~$4,558 poke. Silver ~$67.1. Brent ~$95.7, WTI ~$91.6. EUR ~1.163, GBP ~1.354, USD/JPY ~156.3, DXY ~99.0. US 10y still ~4.76%. VIX ~14.3. Nikkei finished around 65,021.

Equities are still babysitting Waller. Gold keeps fading. Oil is still the inflation floor under any dovish labour read. That is the second-order tape into Europe, not Destatis and not a fresh catalyst.

Calendar before the US print: Eurozone July retail sales ~10:00 UK (TE street ~+0.3% MoM after June's -0.3%). UK construction PMI ~09:30. Neither rewrites the Fed book. NFP is 13:30 UK. Street cluster roughly +55k to +65k after July's -23k, unemployment mostly seen steady near 4.1%, wages ~+0.3% MoM. Canada employment hits the same timestamp if you trade the dollar broadly.

I care about the unemployment rate and the revisions as much as the headline. Near-consensus leaves next week's CPI and PPI as Waller's September vote. A hot print puts the hike tail back on. Another miss and this equity hold gets a second wind, with Brent still mid-$95s telling you how far the market is allowed to go dovish.

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Samuel Leach Updates!

6 सित॰ 2026, 01:22 pm

Gold just bought back the London fade. Oil refused to come with it.

Marks now (Yahoo, ~09:22 BST): gold futures ~$4,528 after ~$4,509 mid-morning and a ~$4,517 London open. Brent ~$95.1 from the mid-$95s. WTI ~$90.7. ES still ~7,760 near Thursday's 7,748 cash close. EUR ~1.163, GBP ~1.354, USD/JPY ~156.3, DXY ~99.1. US 10y stuck at ~4.76%. FTSE ~10,819. VIX ~14.2.

So the 08:00 split rotated. Equities are still babysitting Waller. The hedge reclaimed about twenty dollars. Brent slipped off the mid-$95s, which softens the inflation floor under any dovish labour read. Quiet tape, not a fresh projectile.

Next London prints: UK construction PMI ~09:30 (July was 44.7), then Eurozone July retail ~10:00 (street ~+0.3% MoM after June's -0.3%). Neither rewrites the Fed book. NFP is 13:30 UK. Street roughly +55k to +65k after July's -23k, unemployment mostly seen steady near 4.1%, wages ~+0.3% MoM.

I still care more about the unemployment rate and the revisions than the headline. Near-consensus keeps next week's CPI and PPI as Waller's September vote. A hot print puts the hike tail back on. Another miss and this equity hold gets a second wind, with gold already showing you who was nervous into the data window.

Samuel Leach Updates!

6 सित॰ 2026, 01:22 pm

Eurozone retail just printed soft and the euro acted like nobody was home.

Eurostat, July: seasonally adjusted retail trade volume -0.6% MoM in the euro area and -0.4% in the EU. Street was looking for about +0.3% after June's originally reported -0.3%. June itself got revised to +0.2% MoM. Non-food (ex fuel) was the drag at -1.4% MoM. Food held +0.4%. Germany took the ugly seat at -3.4% MoM. Year-on-year the euro area is still +0.6%.

Earlier London: UK construction PMI 44.3 in August versus 45.5 expected and 44.7 in July. Still deep in contraction, just a touch softer than the street wanted. Cable did not flinch then either.

Marks (Yahoo, ~10:02 BST): EUR ~1.163, GBP ~1.353, USD/JPY ~156.4, DXY ~99.1, gold ~$4,522 (off the ~$4,528 reclaim), Brent ~$95.1, WTI ~$90.7, ES ~7,761, FTSE ~10,822, US 10y ~4.76%, VIX ~14.2.

So London gave you two soft demand prints before lunch and FX refused to price them as a regime change. The book is still US labour at 13:30 UK. Street cluster roughly +55k to +65k after July's -23k, unemployment mostly seen near 4.1%, wages ~+0.3% MoM.

I care more about the unemployment rate and the revisions than the headline. Soft European consumption colour sits under Brent mid-$95s as the inflation floor, but equities are still babysitting Waller into the print. Near-consensus keeps next week's CPI and PPI as the September Fed vote. A hot payrolls print puts the hike tail back on. Another miss and this equity hold gets a second wind.

Samuel Leach Updates!

20 अग॰ 2026, 12:49 am

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Samuel Leach Updates!

20 अग॰ 2026, 12:49 am

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Samuel Leach Updates!

20 अग॰ 2026, 12:49 am

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Samuel Leach Updates!

20 अग॰ 2026, 12:49 am

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Samuel Leach Updates!

20 अग॰ 2026, 12:49 am

Out the blue question:

I want to build a one man Ai company who wants to be apart of the journey and we all build out this on YouTube with all of you apart of it?

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Samuel Leach Updates!

20 अग॰ 2026, 12:49 am

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Samuel Leach Updates!

20 अग॰ 2026, 12:49 am

https://samuelleach.beehiiv.com/p/usd-jpy-at-161-38-boj-intervention-playbook

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Samuel Leach Updates!

20 अग॰ 2026, 12:49 am

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Samuel Leach Updates!

20 अग॰ 2026, 12:49 am

https://samuelleach.beehiiv.com/p/oil-just-crashed-30-here-is-what-i-am-buying-today

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Samuel Leach Updates!

20 अग॰ 2026, 12:49 am

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Samuel Leach Updates!

29 अप्रैल 2026, 03:54 pm

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Samuel Leach Updates!

29 अप्रैल 2026, 03:54 pm

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Samuel Leach Updates!

29 अप्रैल 2026, 03:54 pm

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Samuel Leach Updates!

29 अप्रैल 2026, 03:54 pm

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Samuel Leach Updates!

29 अप्रैल 2026, 03:54 pm

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Samuel Leach Updates!

29 अप्रैल 2026, 03:54 pm

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29 अप्रैल 2026, 03:54 pm

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29 अप्रैल 2026, 03:54 pm

[poll]

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Samuel Leach Updates!

29 अप्रैल 2026, 03:54 pm

Check out my latest stock report: https://samuelleach.beehiiv.com/p/a-once-in-a-decade-opportunity-in-a-global-giant

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Samuel Leach Updates!

29 अप्रैल 2026, 03:54 pm

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Samuel Leach Updates!

Samuel Leach Updates!

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सब्सक्राइबर वृद्धि (पिछले 10 दिन)

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संबंधित टेलीग्राम चैनल

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