All armies do so, and all militias do so as well, however, there is a stark difference between what Israel had to do after the 2006 and 2008 wars, and rebuilding from scratch like what Hezbullah was forced to do after the 2024 war. When Hezbullah loses Syria for manufacturing or smuggling weapons from Iran, has no factories active in Beqaa, has no funds to actively recruit, has no access to rebuild its infrastructure in the border towns, especially strategic towns like Khiyam and so on, they will be at a disadvantage when war resumes with Israel, who had constant streams of funds, no interruption in training camps or factories, and did not suffer material losses that could hinder its ground offensive capabilities. Israel's losses and Hezbullah's losses are not comparable; never will be. This is the state of asymmetric warfare between a resistance and a state built around an army being supported by the strongest empire in history: The U. S. A.
What I'm explaining here is that the material means between Hezbullah and Israel are never on par, and great sacrifices are expected from Hezbullah in any such war. Today's disadvantages are not far from those that existed in 2006, 2000, 1996, 1993, and so on. This imbalance in power is there, and only sabotaging the Israeli will to fight is how Hezbullah can win this war. The Israeli population grew less sensitive to casualties after 7-October and tolerated 400 more soldier deaths in Gaza during the war there. These 400 were an acceptable loss to kill 50,000 Muslim Arabs and erase Gaza, rendering it a wasteland with no ability to threaten Israel ever again. On the same page, the Israeli invasion of Lebanon in 2023 costed Israel less than 100 soldier to kill more than 4,000 Lebanese including thousands of Hezbullah fighers and Hezbullah's historic and legendary leadership. So today, how can this Israeli will be defeated if soldier deaths are not enough to put pressure on the Israeli leadership to stop a war? Especially with the new doctrine I talked about in the attached thread: To remove a threat from existence, not to keep a threat under control anymore.
The key to win here is the defeat of the morale of the Israel army, and this will only happen once Hezbullah is able to kill Israeli soldiers more effectively, and make Israeli units bleed. What is the difference here? When you kill a whole unit, when you actually destroy a tank and have soldiers see tankers burning to death, when you have an infantry unit hollowed with Sejjil's 3500 balls or or or, then and only then will those units lose their cockiness and understand: this war is not a stroll where I enter a town, I get shelled at, I kill, I demolition a house, sing, and then go back safely to my base. Lethality is the only key to defeating the Israel army in real battles, where a war objective becomes too costly to be worth it. This point should be very clear, no need to elaborate further. Me or anyone talking about FPVs as if it were the holy grail is only because we naively or possibly truly believe it is the key that will deliver lethality and success on par with what we saw in Ukraine. The success in killing soldiers and destroying Humvees, or hitting a dozen Israel soldiers, who were carrying 10 gallons of explosives meant rig a house, and instead evaporating them with FPVs, would be the cold water on a sunny day in a hot desert. FPVs can navigate, hunt, offer a solution, and be a problem that the IDF does not have a solution for. Easy to make, easy to use, and their raw materials are abundant.
Now about this war, let me be very clear: I believe Hezbullah will win, not because I have my life bet on such a win, but because I believe Hezbullah has a will that will outlast that of the Israel army and the Shia will not accept humiliation. Sayyed Hassan's blood will not be in vain and at the end of the day, the God of Islam, will avenge such blood spilled. If Nasrallah's blood is not avenged, what worth is there to live in this world anymore??
