Axis of Ordinary

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Updated: May 16, 2026 at 5:58 AM

Axis of Ordinary

Memetic and cognitive hazards. Substack: https://axisofordinary.substack.com/

@axisofordinary is a growing community focused on httpsaxisofordinarysubstackcom and hazards and related topics

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Axis of Ordinary

May 21, 2026, 10:23 PM

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The Economist shows that US growth is overwhelmingly due to AI.

Article: https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2026/05/18/how-much-is-donald-trump-costing-americas-economy [no paywall: https://archive.is/8gYQo]

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Axis of Ordinary

May 21, 2026, 10:23 PM

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Jury Rejects Musk’s Claim Against OpenAI

Mr. Altman is now free to solidify his control of OpenAI, which appears headed toward one of the largest initial public offerings in history. The company also would be free to pursue a data center expansion plan that could cost hundreds of billions of dollars.

Source: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/05/18/technology/openai-trial-verdict-altman-musk

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Axis of Ordinary

May 21, 2026, 10:23 PM

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Prompt: Please translate the written text and describe the doodle.

GPT-5.5 Thinking (standard thinking level)
Claude Opus 4.7 Adaptive
Meta Muse Thinking
Gemini 3.1 Pro (standard thinking level)

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Axis of Ordinary

May 21, 2026, 10:23 PM

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Russian propagandist Simonyan, who in 2022 claimed that Russia would defeat Ukraine in two days, is now saying that her children are sleeping in the hallway. What happened?

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Axis of Ordinary

May 21, 2026, 10:23 PM

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Training a Humanoid Robot for Hard Work https://bostondynamics.com/blog/training-a-humanoid-robot-for-hard-work/

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Axis of Ordinary

May 21, 2026, 10:23 PM

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Axis of Ordinary

May 21, 2026, 10:23 PM

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Mykhailo Fedorov, Ukraine’s 35-year-old defense minister:

The world needs security, and only autonomous weapons can ensure it. Autonomous weapons are the new nuclear weapons. Countries that possess them will be protected.

Read more: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/15/world/europe/mykhailo-fedorov-ukraine-ai.html [no paywall: https://archive.is/0MlZP]

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Axis of Ordinary

May 21, 2026, 10:23 PM

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In country after country the birth rate plunged after the introduction of smartphones, no matter what the previous trend was…the modern digital media environment has had profound effects on society that have led to a decline in romantic coupling.

Read more: https://www.ft.com/content/fba35eca-df3a-4ad6-b42d-eb08eb7c9ad3 [no paywall: https://archive.is/ztNDS]

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Axis of Ordinary

May 21, 2026, 10:23 PM

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Daily AI users view AI very differently from non-users.

Daily users: 77% favourable / 20% unfavourable
Rare or never-users: 25% favourable / 67% unfavourable

That is a 99-point net opinion gap — larger than the divide by party, age, gender, education or race.

Overall, U. S. voters are almost evenly split: 48% favourable, 46% unfavourable.

The poll cannot prove causation: using AI may make people like it more, or people already open to AI may use it more.

But the central finding is clear: experience with AI is the biggest divide in public opinion.

Source: https://www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2026/2/27/public-opinion-on-artificial-intelligence-varies-widely-by-age-gender-race-and-frequency-of-use

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Axis of Ordinary

May 21, 2026, 10:23 PM

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Axis of Ordinary

May 7, 2026, 09:02 AM

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The Triangle of Everything: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Triangle_of_everything_simplified_2_triangle_of_everything_-_Planck_Units.png

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Axis of Ordinary

May 7, 2026, 09:02 AM

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Boston Dynamics

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Axis of Ordinary

May 7, 2026, 09:02 AM

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Axis of Ordinary

May 7, 2026, 09:02 AM

Co-founder of Anthropic: https://x.com/jackclarkSF/status/2051312759594471886

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Axis of Ordinary

May 7, 2026, 09:02 AM

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How do we measure 3D spatial intelligence?

We show an agent ~20 photos from inside an apartment and ask it to produce the floor plan. It has to identify rooms, work out connections, and keep scale consistent. It does this for 50 apartments, with a notepad to learn across them.

Read more: https://andonlabs.com/evals/blueprint-bench-2

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Axis of Ordinary

May 7, 2026, 09:02 AM

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This was always destined to happen. The party that controls AI has shaping power over the rest of human history.

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/04/technology/trump-ai-models.html

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Axis of Ordinary

May 7, 2026, 09:02 AM

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Interesting idea to probe how much “programming ability” is post-training vs. pretraining: https://github.com/RicardoDominguez/talkie-coder

Fine-tuning on modern SWE trajectories takes a 13B “vintage” model trained only on pre-1931 text from 4% pass@100 on HumanEval to 4.5% pass@1 on SWE-bench.

This is evidence that general language modeling learns surprisingly reusable abstractions. Why? Imagine trying to teach someone to fix bugs in a large software project by showing them recordings of expert programmers at work. This approach would only be helpful if the learner already had a lot of mental machinery.

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Axis of Ordinary

May 7, 2026, 09:02 AM

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Claude Opus 4.7 managed to implement an AlphaZero-style self-play pipeline from scratch on consumer hardware in three hours.

No starter code. No full paper to copy. It had to implement the research loop: MCTS, neural policy/value nets, self-play, training, and evaluation.

Across eight trials, Opus 4.7 beat the Pascal Pons Connect Four solver as first player in 7/8 runs. No other tested frontier coding agent cleared 2/8.

Paper: Frontier Coding Agents Can Now Implement an AlphaZero Self-Play Machine Learning Pipeline For Connect Four That Performs Comparably to an External Solver https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.25067

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Axis of Ordinary

May 7, 2026, 09:02 AM

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Between the 15th and 18th centuries, Crimea’s slave raiders seized millions from villages across Poland, Ukraine and Russia, marched them south in chains, and sold them into Ottoman markets. A new APSR study by Volha Charnysh and Ranjit Lall estimates at least 3.64 million captives (likely about 5 million) from 2,511 raids on 882 locations.

The surprise: raided regions later grew faster than comparable unraided ones.

Why? Unlike parts of West Africa, Russia and Poland-Lithuania did not become suppliers inside the trade. They resisted it. Defence lines, garrisons, forts, roads, taxes and standing armies pulled labour, trade and state capacity toward the exposed frontier. Garrison towns became markets; fortified borderlands became administrative and commercial hubs.

The raids were catastrophic. But long-run effects depended on political structure: societies absorbed into slave production were broken; societies able to resist were forced into state-building.

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Axis of Ordinary

May 7, 2026, 09:02 AM

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Chinese models are ~8 months behind and are falling further behind: https://www.nist.gov/news-events/news/2026/05/caisi-evaluation-deepseek-v4-pro

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Axis of Ordinary

May 1, 2026, 12:43 PM

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AI judges are more consistent than human judges: https://news.uchicago.edu/story/how-do-ai-judges-compare-human-ones-its-complicated-says-uchicago-scholar

"AI models applied the governing rules with complete consistency and without mistake."

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Axis of Ordinary

May 1, 2026, 12:43 PM

https://x.com/davidad/status/2049293996325797967

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Axis of Ordinary

May 1, 2026, 12:43 PM

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We are starting to understand that this is a real war.

The special military operation is proceeding as planned.

[See comments for an English transcript.]

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Axis of Ordinary

May 1, 2026, 12:43 PM

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I'm not into music, so that may be the reason, but if I had heard this on the radio or on TV, I wouldn't have been able to tell that this was AI-generated. Music has already crossed the point for me where I'm completely unable to tell apart AI from human output.

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Axis of Ordinary

May 1, 2026, 12:43 PM

David Shor: we polled ~14k people and crosstabbed survey responses by 204 commonly used psychometric questions.

The top four personality questions most predictive of button choice are displayed below

Also: within ideology, red-button pickers are ~4% more supportive of Luigi Mangione than blue-button pickers

Source: https://x.com/davidshor/status/2048807607226302966

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Axis of Ordinary

May 1, 2026, 12:43 PM

The goal is continuous, fully automated shipping.

https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2048958572562710550

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Axis of Ordinary

May 1, 2026, 12:43 PM

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Axis of Ordinary

May 1, 2026, 12:43 PM

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https://yougov.com/en-gb/articles/54612-how-do-britons-feel-about-nuclear-energy

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Axis of Ordinary

May 1, 2026, 12:43 PM

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China’s vast nuclear power sector now able to build 50 reactors at a time: https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3350847/chinas-vast-nuclear-power-sector-now-able-build-50-reactors-time

We could have done this, too, if it weren't for the decades of anti-nuclear disinformation campaigns of environmentalists.

The world could have defeated climate change in the 1980s if all industrialized nations had followed France's lead.

This would have been vastly cheaper than what nations are now pledging to spend in order to combat climate change. Most importantly, it would have been a solution compatible with further growth. But environmentalists sabotaged this technological solution.

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Axis of Ordinary

May 1, 2026, 12:43 PM

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Some attempts to get Images 2.0 to visualize Scott Alexander's post 'Wirehead Gods On Lotus Thrones': https://slatestarcodex.com/2014/01/28/wirehead-gods-on-lotus-thrones/

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