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Trade Watcher
May 18, 2026, 06:34 AM
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The US sold 30-year bonds with yields above 5% for the first time since the global financial crisis began.
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Trade Watcher
May 18, 2026, 06:34 AM
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Trump provides an update on his 48-hour visit to China for the US-China summit with over 15 US public company CEOs.
He says tariffs were not discussed with China’s President Xi and were "not brought up."
Trump made no commitment on Taiwan during their talks.
He also mentioned the possibility of meeting President Xi four times in 2026.
China has not purchased Nvidia’s H200 chips, despite US approval for sales.
Trump added that he and Xi discussed potential easing of US sanctions on Chinese companies buying Iranian oil.
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Trade Watcher
May 18, 2026, 06:34 AM
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⚡️ JUST IN: Jerome Powell ends his 3,018-day tenure as Fed Chair today as his term expires.
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Trade Watcher
May 18, 2026, 06:34 AM
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⚡️ JUST IN: Trump said he thinks the US will be fine on the Taiwan issue and will make a determination about arms sales to Taiwan.
He denied asking China for favors on Iran, questioned if Iran’s ceasefire was a favor to other nations, and said he and Xi agree on trade.
He expects US farmers to be happy with the deal made with China.
Trump said he is okay with Iran suspending its nuclear program for 20 years if it is a “real” commitment and claimed a total military victory against Iran.
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Trade Watcher
May 18, 2026, 06:34 AM
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Listen.
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Trade Watcher
May 18, 2026, 06:34 AM
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Trump said he offered Xi Jinping to buy oil from the US, while Xi Jinping stressed the importance of continuing oil trade with Iran.
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Trade Watcher
May 18, 2026, 06:34 AM
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⚡️ JUST IN: Saudi Arabia proposes a regional non-aggression pact with Iran as allies discuss post-war security after the US-Israel conflict ends.
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Trade Watcher
May 18, 2026, 06:34 AM
⚡️ JUST IN: Trump says China's President Xi told him China will not provide military equipment to Iran and supports a peace deal.
Trump also says President Xi has offered to mediate tensions to help reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
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Trade Watcher
May 18, 2026, 06:34 AM
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Bitcoin wallet owner regained access to $400,000 after 12 years using Claude AI, which suggested recovering deleted files instead of guessing passwords.
The AI found the required wallet.dat file with the key on the old laptop.
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Trade Watcher
May 18, 2026, 06:34 AM
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🔼Nvidia Surpasses Silver as Second Largest Asset
Nvidia (NVDA) has surpassed silver to become the world's second largest asset at $5.52 trillion.
Google is under 4% from joining the $5 trillion market cap club.
This marks a historic tech revolution.
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Trade Watcher
Mar 28, 2026, 08:25 AM
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The S&P 500 has gained just 9% during Trump’s second term.
This is the weakest performance since Bush’s second term in 2008.
Too much winning, Mr. President.
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Trade Watcher
Mar 28, 2026, 08:25 AM
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🧠 Loss aversion drives bad trading decisions
Loss aversion means losses feel about twice as strong as gains of the same size. The same $100 creates very different reactions depending on direction.
This bias shows up in trading behavior.
Traders hold losing positions longer and close winning ones too early.
The decision is shaped by emotion, not by the setup.
The bias stays constant even when the market does not.
Your brain is lying to you on every single trade.
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Trade Watcher
Mar 28, 2026, 08:25 AM
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Trading in 2026
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Trade Watcher
Mar 28, 2026, 08:25 AM
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⚡️ JUST IN: Iran has rejected US ceasefire talks and says US talks are “illogical.”
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Trade Watcher
Mar 28, 2026, 08:25 AM
⚡️ JUST IN: Israel's Channel 12 reports that US negotiators are working on a one-month ceasefire with Iran, during which talks will be held over 15 items.
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Trade Watcher
Mar 28, 2026, 08:25 AM
⚡️ JUST IN: Israel's Channel 12 reports that US negotiators are working on a one-month ceasefire with Iran, during which talks will be held over 15 items. ✅ @trading
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Trade Watcher
Mar 28, 2026, 08:25 AM
The slower you take trading, the faster you will be profitable.
Forget time and money goals.
Submit to discipline and take the same trade every day.
Profits will follow.
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Trade Watcher
Mar 28, 2026, 08:25 AM
⚡️ JUST IN: Iran confirms US outreach and says it is willing to listen to proposals to end the war, CNN.
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Trade Watcher
Mar 28, 2026, 08:25 AM
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⚡️ JUST IN: US and Iran are discussing high level peace talks in Islamabad as soon as Thursday.
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Trade Watcher
Mar 28, 2026, 08:25 AM
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⚠️ Someone Is Betting Big on a US–Iran Ceasefire
10 new Polymarket wallets placed $160K on a US–Iran ceasefire by the end of March.
If it hits, the payout is $1M.
Even more interesting, two of these wallets already made around $135K after betting on US strikes before Feb 28 and are now positioned for a ceasefire.
That kind of timing doesn’t look random.
Either someone understands how this plays out, or it’s a very confident bet.
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Trade Watcher
Mar 26, 2026, 10:24 AM
⚡️ JUST IN: Iran’s new supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei has agreed to negotiate with the US and reach an agreement - Al Arabiya reports citing Israeli media.
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Trade Watcher
Mar 26, 2026, 10:24 AM
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⚠️ Trump Insiders Are Already Trading It
Large positions hit the market minutes before Trump’s announcement.
Around $580M in oil shorts and $1.5B in S&P 500 longs were opened just 15 minutes before the speech.
At the same time, about 6,200 Brent and WTI contracts changed hands, with aggressive selling right before the news.
That kind of positioning doesn’t look accidental.
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Trade Watcher
Mar 26, 2026, 10:24 AM
When people are worried about the future, they buy gold.
When people are worried about the present, they sell gold.
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Trade Watcher
Mar 26, 2026, 10:24 AM
⚡️ JUST IN: Trump says a deal with Iran could be “5 days or sooner,” says he is not sure what Iranian media is referring to, and confirms talks took place last night ✅ @trading
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Trade Watcher
Mar 26, 2026, 10:24 AM
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📈 The real path of a trader looks like this
At the start, everything feels easy. A few wins and it feels like you’ve cracked the market.
Then losses come in, confidence drops, and you realize how little you actually understand.
This is the Dunning–Kruger effect.
A curve where beginners overestimate their skill, then go through a deep phase of doubt before real competence starts to build.
Most never make it past that drop.
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Trade Watcher
Mar 26, 2026, 10:24 AM
⚡️ JUST IN: Trump says a deal with Iran could be “5 days or sooner,” says he is not sure what Iranian media is referring to, and confirms talks took place last night
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Trade Watcher
Mar 26, 2026, 10:24 AM
⚡️ JUST IN: Iran says there are no talks with Washington and claims Trump backed off after warnings Iran would target regional power plants
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Trade Watcher
Mar 26, 2026, 10:24 AM
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⚠️ Key Events This Week
The week is centered around growth and inflation expectations, but the main driver remains the conflict around Iran. Oil is the key channel, especially after Trump’s 48-hour ultimatum tied to the Strait of Hormuz.
🔴 Tuesday
● March S&P Global Services PMI data
This shows how strong the service sector is right now. Strong data supports growth, while weaker numbers point to slowing demand.
🔴 Wednesday
● US Crude Oil Inventory data
This reflects supply and demand in the oil market. Large changes can move oil prices and shift inflation expectations.
🟡 Thursday
● Initial Jobless Claims data
A fast read on the labor market. Rising claims suggest cooling conditions, while stable data supports a stronger economy.
🟡Friday
● March MI Consumer Sentiment data
● March MI Inflation Expectations data
Sentiment shows how consumers view the economy. Inflation expectations matter because they influence spending and Fed policy outlook.
Main focus: Tuesday’s PMI data and Iran headlines, with oil as the key transmission channel.
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Trade Watcher
Mar 26, 2026, 10:24 AM
⚡️ BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Trump says Iran and US had productive conversations.
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Trade Watcher
Mar 24, 2026, 10:20 AM
⚡️JUST IN: U. S. and Iran are discussing terms for potential peace talks, per Axios.
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