Paradigm Edge

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Updated: May 25, 2026 at 11:02 PM

Paradigm Edge

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Latest Posts

Paradigm Edge

May 18, 2026, 04:17 AM

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Paradigm Flows – March 23

BTC flows featured puts rolled and a put spread bought. There was also a condor lifted. ETH flows were muted today.

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Paradigm Edge

May 18, 2026, 04:17 AM

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Paradigm Flows – March 24

BTC flows were mixed and muted while ETH trades featured a noteworthy December Risk Reversal, 1.7k / 3.2k.

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Paradigm Edge

May 18, 2026, 04:17 AM

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Paradigm Flows – March 17

BTC flows were pulverized and mixed, with puts rolled and OTM call spreads lifted. ETH trading was concentrated around the 2.3k strike, printing a straddle and a call strip. Dealers bought both structures.

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Paradigm Edge

May 18, 2026, 04:17 AM

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Paradigm Flows – March 18

BTC flows featured bear risk reversals in Apr (62k vs 85k, 58k vs 90k) and Dec (62k vs 90k). ETH flows were mixed with outrights lifted and strips sold again.

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Paradigm Edge

May 18, 2026, 04:17 AM

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Paradigm's Week In Review (Mar 15 - Mar 20)

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Paradigm Edge

May 18, 2026, 04:17 AM

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Paradigm Session Recap – January 20

Spot is down, with BTC at $88,200 and ETH at $2,900 as of this writing. Stocks sold off sharply amid renewed global trade war concerns, with all Mag 7 names down at least 1%. US Treasury yields pushed to the highest levels since last summer following Trump’s Greenland rhetoric and Japan’s long-end yields at record highs. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said President Trump could decide on the next Fed chair as soon as next week.

Fronts are up ~10 vols and put skew increased as spot sold off. BTC flows featured the Feb 70k put lifted at 53v. Jan risk reversals also traded.

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Paradigm Edge

May 18, 2026, 04:17 AM

https://x.com/paradex/status/2029142958394749255?s=20

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Paradigm Edge

May 18, 2026, 04:17 AM

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Paradigm Flows – March 16

BTC flows saw March puts lifted while ETH flows featured the December 2.2k / 3.2k call spread (dealers sold) and a March - April put calendar (dealers bought).

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Paradigm Edge

May 18, 2026, 04:17 AM

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Paradigm's Week In Review (Dec 15 - Dec 19)

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Paradigm Edge

May 18, 2026, 04:17 AM

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Paradigm Session Recap – January 5

Spot is up, with BTC at $94,200 and ETH at $3,200 as of this writing. Global crypto ETPs saw $47.2bn of inflows in 2025, ending the year just 3% shy of 2024. The week features a Michelle Bowman speech on Wednesday and December payrolls on Friday.

BTC flows saw calls lifted, with Jan 98k at 44v and Feb 100k also at 44v. ETH flows featured call spreads bought.

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Paradigm Edge

Mar 28, 2026, 07:22 AM

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Paradigm's Week In Review (Dec 8 - Dec 12)

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Paradigm Edge

Mar 21, 2026, 12:22 AM

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Paradigm Session Recap – December 9

Spot is up, with BTC at $92,900 and ETH at $3,300 as of this writing. National Economic Council director Kevin Hassett, the frontrunner for next Fed Chair, said he would rely on his own judgment and not bow to political pressure, adding that the Fed “cannot be a political body.”

BTC flows featured the 13 Dec 90k / 98k risk reversal. The ETH 26 Dec 4.8k call was lifted at 78v.

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Paradigm Edge

Mar 21, 2026, 12:22 AM

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Paradigm's Week In Review (Dec 1 - Dec 5)

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Paradigm Edge

Mar 21, 2026, 12:22 AM

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Paradigm Session Recap – December 8

Spot is up, with BTC at $90,700 and ETH at $3,100 as of this writing. The Fed is expected to cut rates by 25 bps. New economic projections are due at 2 p.m. ET, followed by a press conference with Chair Powell.

Fronts retraced while skew is largely unchanged. Flows featured a December custom. The 12 Dec 96k call sold at 51v.

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Paradigm Edge

Mar 3, 2026, 11:37 PM

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Paradigm Session Recap — December 1

Spot is down, with BTC at $86,500 and ETH at $2,800 as of this writing. The September PCE print—likely the final inflation datapoint ahead of the Fed’s rate decision—is due Friday at 10am ET.

Fronts widened and put skew increased slightly. Flows featured OTM puts, with 5 Dec 75k lifted at 84v and 12 Dec 2k bought at 110v. There was also interest further out the curve, with the 26 Jun 26 80k bought at 51v.

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Paradigm Edge

Dec 6, 2025, 04:45 PM

Paradigm Session Recap – November 17

Spot is down, with BTC at $92,000 and ETH at $3,000 as of this writing. Markets now look ahead to Wednesday’s October Fed minutes release at 2 p.m. ET and Nvidia earnings after the close. The long-delayed September jobs report is scheduled for Thursday.

Put skew is up slightly. BTC flows featured the 28 Nov 90k put lifted at 53v, while ETH saw 4k calls rolled.

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Paradigm Edge

Dec 6, 2025, 04:45 PM

Paradigm's Week In Review (Nov 17 - Nov 21)Paradigm's Week In Review (Nov 17 - Nov 21)

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Paradigm Edge

Dec 6, 2025, 04:45 PM

Paradigm Session Recap – November 24

Spot is up, with BTC at $88,000 and ETH at $2,900 as of this writing. The iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF recorded $2.2B in net outflows month-to-date — the largest on record. Tomorrow the delayed PPI print for September is expected. U. S. markets will be closed Thursday for Thanksgiving.

Fronts retraced and put skew softened. Flows featured a 26 Dec 100k/106k/112k/118k condor. Activity was elevated, with $3.8B traded via Paradigm (53% of Deribit volume).

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Paradigm Edge

Dec 6, 2025, 04:45 PM

Paradigm Session Recap — November 25

Spot drifted lower, with BTC at $87,300 and ETH at $2,900 as of this writing. Grayscale and Franklin Templeton’s newly launched spot XRP ETFs each recorded over $60M in day-one inflows.

Fronts slipped slightly. Flow was concentrated in ETH OTM calls, with Dec 5k / 5.2k lifted at 91v and Dec 5.5k lifted at 98v.

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Paradigm Edge

Dec 6, 2025, 04:45 PM

Paradigm's Week In Review (Nov 24 - Nov 28)Paradigm's Week In Review (Nov 24 - Nov 28)

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Paradigm Edge

Dec 6, 2025, 04:45 PM

Paradigm's Week In Review (Nov 10 - Nov 14)Paradigm's Week In Review (Nov 10 - Nov 14)

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Paradigm Edge

Dec 6, 2025, 01:17 AM

Paradigm Session Recap – November 13

Spot is down, with BTC at $100,000 and ETH at $3,200 as of this writing. The Nasdaq Composite led indexes lower, losing 2.3%. Fed Funds Futures are now evenly split between a December cut and hold.

Fronts are up while skew remained unchanged. BTC flows featured the 28 Nov 90k/110k risk reversal and the 28 Nov 90k outright put lifted. ETH flows were muted.

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Paradigm Edge

Dec 1, 2025, 07:39 AM

Paradigm Session Recap – November 11

Spot is down, with BTC at $103,000 and ETH at $3,400 as of this writing. As the government reopens, delayed economic data should begin to roll out. The September jobs report, originally scheduled for Oct. 3, is expected to be among the first releases. It remains unclear how the BLS will handle October inflation figures given the survey disruption during the shutdown.

Put skew increased slightly. BTC flows featured the 26 Dec 108k / 95k put spread sold, while ETH saw calls lifted in November and December across strikes ranging from 4k to 7k.

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Paradigm Edge

Nov 29, 2025, 12:29 AM

Paradigm's Week In Review (Nov 3 - Nov 7)Paradigm's Week In Review (Nov 3 - Nov 7)

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Paradigm Edge

Nov 29, 2025, 12:29 AM

Paradigm Session Recap – November 10

Spot is mixed, with BTC at $106,000 and ETH at $3,600 as of this writing. The longest government shutdown on record appears close to ending. The Nasdaq Composite gained 2.3%, the largest one-day rally since May. Tomorrow the U. S. bond market is closed for Veterans Day, while equities remain open.

Fronts and put skew eased. Flows featured a 1dte strangle bought. There was also OTM activity, with the 28 Nov 80k put lifted at 64v and the 21 Nov 110k call bought at 40v.

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Paradigm Edge

Nov 25, 2025, 05:48 AM

Paradigm Session Recap – November 5

Spot is up, with BTC at $104,000 and ETH at $3,400 as of this writing. Tech led markets higher today. The Bitcoin and Ether ETFs outflows streak continues. Tomorrow the Bank of England is expected to hold rates steady.

Fronts and put skew retraced. BTC saw a December 112k/120k/150k fly print, while ETH flows featured November OTM customs and call spreads.

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Paradigm Edge

Nov 7, 2025, 07:17 AM

Paradigm's Week In Review (Oct 27 - Oct 31)Paradigm's Week In Review (Oct 27 - Oct 31)

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Paradigm Edge

Nov 7, 2025, 07:17 AM

https://x.com/fiddybps1/status/1984479635388936289

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Paradigm Edge

Nov 7, 2025, 07:17 AM

Paradigm Session Recap – November 3

Spot is down, with BTC at $106,500 and ETH at $3,600 as of this writing. Bitcoin and Ether ETFs recorded net outflows last week. Democrats are pressing President Trump to negotiate as the government shutdown passes the one-month mark, nearing the record 35-day stretch. Tomorrow brings New York’s mayoral election alongside gubernatorial races in New Jersey and Virginia.

Fronts are up and skew followed spot. Flows diverged: the 28 Nov 108k / 102k put spread was sold while the 7 Nov 3.5k put was lifted at 83v.

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Paradigm Edge

Nov 7, 2025, 07:17 AM

Paradigm Session Recap – November 4

Spot is down, with BTC at $100,500 and ETH at $3,200 as of this writing. The Nasdaq dropped 2% amid broad tech weakness. Paris-based digital asset treasury firm Sequans sold 970 BTC to repay $94 million in debt, trimming its bitcoin holdings to 2,264 BTC.

Fronts rose sharply while put skew edged higher. Flows featured the 28 Nov 102k/110k call spread bought and the 26 Jun 26 3.4k/3k put spread sold.

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